Project decision analysis books

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Monte Carlo
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Project decision analysis books

Post by Monte Carlo » Sun Jun 24, 2007 7:24 pm

Could you recommend any books or articles on project risk management and decision analysis?
Project Manager

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Post by Intaver Support » Sun Jun 24, 2007 7:36 pm

Here is a list of book we compiled:

Decision Analysis Including Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making:

Bell, D.E., Schleifer, A., Jr., Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Course Technology, Inc., Cambridge, MA, 1995

Clemen, R. T., Making Hard Decisions, Brooks/Cole Publishing Company,
2nd ed., Pacific Grove, CA, 1996

Golub, A.L., Decision Analysis: An Integrated Approach, Wiley, New York, 1997

Goodwin, P., and Wright G., Decision Analysis for Management Judgment, Third Edition, John Wiley and Sons, Ltd., Chichester, West Sussex, England, 2004

Hammond, J., Keeney, R., Raiffa, H., Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions, Broadway Books, 1998

Hastie R. and Dawes R., Rational Choices in an Uncertain World, Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, CA, 2001

Heuer, Richards J., Jr., Psychology of Intelligence Analysis, U.S. Government Printing Office (November 1999)

Kidder, R., How Good People Make Tough Choices: Resolving the Dilemmas of Ethical Living, Fireside, 1996

Marshall, K.T., Oliver, R.M., Decision Making and Forecasting with Emphasis on Model Building and Policy Analysis. McGraw-Hill, New York, 1995

Plous, Scott, The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making, McGraw-Hill, 1993

Russo, E., Decision Traps: The Ten Barriers to Decision Making and How to Overcome Them, Fireside, 1990

Russo, E., Winning Decisions: Getting It Right the First Time, Currency, 2001

Skinner, D. 1999. Introduction to Decision Analysis, Second Edition, Probabilistic Publishing, Gainesville FL, 1999

Popular Book on Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making

Gilbert, D., Stumbling on Happiness, Alfred A. Knopf, New York, 2006

Gladwell, M., Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking, Little Brown And Company, New York, 2005

LeGault, M., Think!: Why Critical Decisions Can’t Be Made in the Blink of an Eye, Threshold Editions, New York, 2006

Schwartz, B., The Paradox of Choice: Why More Is Less, Harper Perennial, New York,

Corporate Culture and Peopleware

Constantine, L., Constantine on Peopleware, Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Yourdon Press, 1995

De Marco, T., and Timothy Lister, Peopleware: Productive Projects and Teams, New York: Dorset House, 1987

Katzenback, Jon, and Douglas Smith, The Wisdom of Teams. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1993.

Larson, Carl E. and Frank M.J. LaFasto, Teamwork: What Must Go Right, What Can Go Wrong. Newbury Park, CA: Sage, 1989

McConell, Steve, Rapid Development, Microsoft Press, Redmont, WA, 1996

Sanders, Tim, Love is Killer App, Three Rivers Press, Reprint edition, 2003

Weinberg, Gerald M., Becoming a Technical Leader, New York: Dorset House, 1982.

Theory of Probability and Statistics

Anderson D., Sweeney D., Williams T,. Quantitative Methods for Business, 10th ed., Thomson Higher Education, Mason, OH, 2006

Freedman, D. Pisani R., Purves R., Statistics, 3RD edition, W. W. Norton & Company; New York, 1997

Project Management Including Project Risk Management

Demarco, T. and Lister, T. 2003. Waltzing with Bear: Managing Risks on Software Projects. Dorset House

Futrell, R., Shafer D., and Shafer L. 2002. Quality Software Project Management, Prentice Hall PTR, Upper Saddle River, NJ, 2002

Goodpasture J. 2004. Quantitative Methods in Project Management, J.Ross Publishing, Boca Raton, FL

Heldman, K. 2005. Project Manager’s Spotlight on Risk Management, Harbor Light Press, Alameda, CA

Hillson, D. 2003. Effective Opportunity Management for Projects, Marcel Dekker Inc., 1th ed.

Hillson, D. 2006. Risk Management Universe a Guided Tour, Bsi Business Information

Kendrick T. 2003. Identifying and Managing Project Risk: Essential Tools For Failure-Proofing Your Project, AMACOM, a division of American Management Association, New York

Klastorin T. 2004. Project Management. Tools and Trade-Offs. Wiley
Milocevic, D. 2003. Project Management Toolbox: Tools and Techniques for Practicing Project Manager, Wiley

Project Management Institute, 2004. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK), Third Edition, Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute.

Schuyler, J. 2001. Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects, Second Edition, Project Management Institute, Newton Square, PA

Whitten, N. 2005. Neal Whitten’s No-nonsense Advice for Successful Projects, Management Concepts, Vienna, VA

Wideman, R.M. 1992. (Ed.) Project and Program Risk Management. Newtown Square, PA: Project Management Institute.
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Alasen
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Joined: Tue Mar 18, 2008 3:16 pm
Location: Sweden

Post by Alasen » Tue Mar 18, 2008 3:41 pm

I learned about event chain methodology for Wikipedia article. Would you recommend any books on Event chain methodology?

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Post by Intaver Support » Tue Mar 18, 2008 3:45 pm

We would recommend "Project Decisions: The Art and Science" 2007, by Lev Virine and Michael Trumper, published by Management Concepts (Vienna, VA).

You may find this book on Amazon: http://www.amazon.com/Project-Decisions ... 606&sr=8-1
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Post by Intaver Support » Thu Apr 03, 2008 11:59 am

Please take a look on this book (we wrote a short review of this book):

David Hillson: Understanding and Managing Risk Attitudes:

In recent years bookshelves (and readers) have groaned under the weight of multiple books on project risk management. It is no easy task to write a book, which is both better than its predecessors and genuinely novel. In both tasks David Hillson and Ruth Murray-Webster has succeeded admirably: this book deserves to become the leader in its field.

We have read many books on psychology and project management. In most cases, they are hard to read: it is difficult to grasp essentials where you overwhelmed with new terminology and research methods. David Hillson and Ruth Murray-Webster have a clear understanding of their principal audience - practicing project managers and write accordingly. Their book avoids overly complex theoretical discussions: the author always has an eye on what a project manager really needs to know.

The authors initially discuss risks and risk attitudes. Essentially risk attitude is a psychological phenomenon. Then the author focuses on two main aspects related to risk attitude. First, how people use psychological heuristics or mental shortcuts when they make choices or assess risks, then the authors discuss the emotional aspects of risk attitude. Understanding and Managing Risk Attitudes is the first book that we have encountered that has detailed discussion on emotional literacy for individuals and groups. The discussion about group risk attitudes, particularly groupthink, is especially valuable: we often do not realize that group risk attitudes can be quite different from that of individuals.

Those with project risk management experience are likely to find a good deal of new and worthwhile information in this book. If you are new to project risk management or just looking to refresh your knowledge of the latest thinking in this field, you should definitely read this book.
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Post by Intaver Support » Tue May 27, 2008 6:11 pm

For more information about bool "Project Decisions: The Art and Science" please visit http://www.projectdecisions.org
Intaver Support Team
Intaver Institute Inc.
Home of Project Risk Management and Project Risk Analysis software RiskyProject
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