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Project Risk Management and Decision Analysis 

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Glossary

Convergence

In the process of Monte Carlo simulations RiskyProject monitors mean and standard deviation of project duration. RiskyProject then calculates relative different between standard deviations of project duration in two consecutive simulations. If convergence monitoring it turned on, the simulation will stop, when this relative difference is less then predefined value within a predefined number of simulations. The same is done for mean. Convergence parameters are set in Options dialog box, Calculation tab. Convergence allows to minimize number of simulation and reduce calculation time, if sufficient amount of information is collected.

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